Very good article about statistics and their limitations. Should be required reading for medical students and health journalists. Contains my new favorite example (attributed to mathematician Ian Stewart) of the ecological fallacy: The average person has one breast and one testicle. In the era of Big Data, we’ve come to believe that, with enough information, …
P-values...ugh... P-values have taken quite a beating lately. These widely used and commonly misapplied statistics have been blamed for giving a veneer of legitimacy to dodgy stu… Source: Not Even Scientists Can Easily Explain P-values | FiveThirtyEight
We seem to be accumulating a large tongue-in-cheek evidence base (mostly thanks to the BMJ Christmas issue) around the effectiveness of parachutes in preventing injury upon falling out of an airplane. Source: Is A Backpack As Good As A Parachute When Jumping Out Of A Plane? : Shots - Health News : NPR As far …
This is a very nice overview of the two leading "camps" of thought on behavioral economics relevant to the healthcare set. Although simple heuristics often yield “biased” decisions, they can deliver a better answers. What might this mean for today's complex algorithms? Source: Simple Heuristics That Make Algorithms Smart - Behavioral Scientist
Jon Brassey doing yeoman's work mitigating the short-sightedness of the decision to de-fund the National Guidelines Clearinghouse. via The post-NGC landscape, a sample of US guidelines added to Trip this month
I appreciate and understand this quote more as I go on... Medicine is a science of uncertainty and an art of probability. — Sir William Osler
There are no secrets to doing well on the EBM exam - know the objectives and you'll do fine!